Category Archives: Defense

Why the Pivot to Asia Makes No Sense

Asia - Satellite image - PlanetObserver

Asia – Satellite image – PlanetObserver (Photo credit: PlanetObserver)

“America’s Pivot: One Big Contradiction”
Justin Logan

The Diplomat
January 25, 2013

I rarely discuss the topic of China in this space, for a couple of reasons. First, I discuss it at length in other fora, most often in Silicon Hutong and The Peking ReviewSecond, I think there are enough other more pressing topics to debate when it comes to the future of the U.S. Occasionally, though, I need to make an exception, and in this case Justin Logan’s thoughtful critique of our China policy demands I do so.

The Asia pivot fails three critical tests. First, it is a failure to match ends with means. The U.S. military lacks the doctrine, forces, and resources to fight and win even a limited conflict in the region, and appears to lack the will to create them within the current and looming constraints on budgets.

Second, it exposes latent hypocrisy, the failure of our rhetoric to match our reality, and thus it undermines our credibility. We say the shift has nothing to do wit China, when in everyone’s eyes, including those in the Pentagon and their opposite numbers in Beijing, it has everything to do with China. In Logan’s words, “if the success of America’s Asia policy relies on China’s elites believing our official rationale, the policy is in trouble.”

He’s absolutely right. And when we promulgate official rationales for policies that are blatantly at odds with reality, our global influence is shot in the foot.

Finally, the Asia Pivot demonstrates a lack of strategic imagination. Given the challenges America faces both at home and abroad, and given the priorities the government must now face as the nation ages and our infrastructure demands upgrades, global forward engagement of a rising hegemon is simply unsustainable. What is more, it encourages our allies to behave as free riders on a system we are creating.

The wisest choice for the US would be to forgo the neo-containment approach of the Pivot. Instead, we should revert to a posture that allows China enough rope in the region to prove itself a hegemon, thus inciting other countries in Asia to take greater responsibility for their own defense and for the balance of power in Asia.

The current administration is on the firing line for this approach, but this is not a partisan issue. It is, instead, a generational change in strategic focus, and if the current administration does not make the necessary choices, it will be left for successors to clean up the mess.

Some Perspective on Drones

 

Picture taken during "Giornata Azzurra&qu...

Picture taken during “Giornata Azzurra” 2007 (Italian Air Force airshow) at Pratica di Mare AFB, Italy. RQ-1 Predator of Italian Air Force, 32° Stormo (italian for “Wing”) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Flying Under the Influence
By @Drunkenpredator

Foreign Policy

Some perspective – from the “point-of-view” of a Predator Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) – about why many of arguments levied against the use of UAVs in combat fail to make an adequate case against them. There are issues with doctrine and employment, but let’s focus on those issues, shall we?

The truth is that in a day and age of falling budgets, the UAVs are – or should be – the future. The only two things that can stop them are misguided politics or Air Force officers determined to continue paying $300 million – $400 million for a single manned fighter.

What we need is well thought-out doctrine under which these craft can and should be employed, with a view to minimizing civilian casualties and to enhancing US prestige abroad, all without overly tying the hands of the warfighter.

English: WASHINGTON, DC. (March 22, 2007) - Se...

Department of Defense photo by R.D. Ward (RELEASED) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

“Our military leaders have seen too many half-baked ideas for the use of military force advanced in the Situation Room by hairy-chested civilians who have never seen combat or fired a gun in anger.”

Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates
“The Militarization of the Presidency”
Armed Forces Journal
July 2012

On the Huawei/ZTE Issue

English: The western front of the United State...

The western front of the United States Capitol. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

A brief comment on the Huawei issue, if I may, since I published a book about the history of the Chinese telecom industry earlier this year.

A Congressional committee has issued a report stating that allowing Chinese telecommunications equipment manufacturers Huawei and ZTE to do business in America constitutes a national security risk. Since the specific evidence to support this accusation – given by anonymous tipsters – is veiled under a security classification, neither we nor the companies involved will ever be able to judge for ourselves. Leave that aside for a moment.

After a year of ongoing research, I have found no evidence of government or military control of either Huawei or ZTE. On the contrary, the government has all but ignored Huawei, and Huawei has been forced to rely on global markets rather than government attention for its success. This has made the company not only unbeholden to its government, it has made it the first of China’s truly international companies.

Classifications notwithstanding, the security issue appears to be a canard. The evidence of issues with Chinese-made equipment is apparently unsubstantiated hearsay that the committee has decided to take at face value. It seems that no hard evidence of a single security breach tied to Chinese equipment from either manufacturer even exists. The recommendation by the committee to exclude these companies from any business in the United States is based on the circumstantial existence of “means, motive, and opportunity.” On that basis every gun owner should be convicted of murder, and every parent should be jailed for child abuse.

But let’s assume for the sake of argument that there is an identifiable risk to the US government or American citizens because of Chinese-made telecommunications equipment. Maybe it is even because the U.S. government has asked its own companies to abet its own espionage by the same means. By making the issue about these two companies, Congress is making America even more vulnerable by positing a solution that doesn’t fix the problem. Most other major equipment makers – Ericsson, Alcatel-Lucent, Cisco, Nokia-Siemens Networks – make their gear in China, too, and do it increasingly under the supervision of Chinese nationals. Wouldn’t this also be a national security risk? Are we not also vulnerable to equipment made in any foreign company? If this is a problem, this is an industry-wide problem, and not one limited to two companies. A solution would need to involve ALL companies.

If Congress really wanted to solve this problem, they would not simply redline these two companies. What they would do is mandate and fund a “distrust but verify” approach to the problem: assume all equipment is faulty or compromised, and test the equipment rigorously for such problems. As an American, I want everything in our networks checked, whether it is made by the French, the Israelis, the Finns, the Germans, OR the Chinese. And, at the same time, I don’t want us to marry ourselves only to US firms for such procurement. That is both foolish and dangerous, as our Department of Defense is discovering.

The two Chinese companies are not without blame – both need to learn that they need to be at least as transparent as an American, French, or German company in the same business, if not more transparent, in order to deprive Congress of the opportunity to deliver such censure. Whatever its intentions, though, the committee in question has wasted taxpayer dollars on what appears to be a politically-motivated witch hunt. The witch has been found, and the country is no safer than it was a week ago.

The Reconstruction Myth

“Imperial Reconstruction”
Peter Van Buren
The American Conservative
August 16, 2012

Twenty-four year State Department veteran Peter Van Buren issues a damning screed against the neocon conceit that reconstruction is about remaking countries in our own image.

I’m going to pick up Van Buren’s book. The idea that post-war reconstruction should be about remaking countries to look like mini-USAs is not a new one, but it finds its roots in the idealism of the Kennedy administration, and it has become a meme of the Neoconservatives. The approach stands in marked contrast to the way we undertook reconstruction in conquered and/or devastated nations after World War II. Say what you want about MacArthur in Japan and the occupation of West Germany, the polities that emerged in those countries in the 1950s were born of a democratic self-image that we enabled rather than foisted upon them.

We were as horribly prepared, both in terms of worldview, doctrine, and assets, to engage in national reconstruction in Iraq and Afghanistan, as we were in South Vietnam, Somalia, Haiti, and the Balkans. Something is broken. Whether it is in the conceit that we can rebuild nations in our image or whether we can rebuild them at all is the question.

I remain a subscriber to Thomas P.M. Barnett‘s approach to multi-agency efforts to improving the lot of failed states, but I think we need to recognize that our failure to un-fail those states needs to be thoroughly examined before we engage in any further missionary activity.

The largest problem, and the one that seems to set our post-WWII efforts apart from our post-1960 efforts, is that we have allowed our ideologies to get in the way. We have made it our goal to export democracy rather than to put into place a government that can start feeding, clothing, housing, and employing its people first.

What is more, we have to get private enterprise off of the battlefield and out of the reconstruction business. I am no fan of big government, but shifting some burdens to private enterprise makes the more costly and less accountable, and that undermines our own democracy, not to mention or well-intentioned efforts on the ground.

Read Van Buren’s article and see what you think.

How to Get Counterfeit Chinese Parts Out of the US Military

China Top Source of Counterfeit U.S. Military Electronics – Bloomberg.

A U.S. Air Force maintenance personnel service...

A U.S. Air Force maintenance personnel service a Pratt & Whitney TF33-P-3 engine of a Boeing B-52H Stratofortress aircraft assigned to the 410th Bombardment Wing at K.I. Sawyer Air Force Base, Marquette County, Michigan (USA) on 18 October 1984. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

This is a disturbing piece, and the knee-jerk reaction would be to redline all of the Chinese manufacturers and bring the production home. But that’s not really the answer.

The better approach would be to hold the prime contractors responsible, rather than the suppliers. A factory in China could care less about the Department of Defense, but L-3, Lockheed-Martin, Boeing, General Dynamics, and Raytheonall do.

Make these companies responsible, set up a penalty clause in all defense contracts (make it an addendum) and place the burden on them. Otherwise the problem will not get solved.

Why the Navy Needs to Re-Think Its Newest Ship

An MH-60R Sea Hawk helicopter prepares to land...

An MH-60R Sea Hawk helicopter prepares to land aboard the littoral combat ship USS Freedom (LCS 1). (Photo credit: Official U.S. Navy Imagery)

Galrahn over at Information Dissemination provides a slightly technical but extremely readable account of why the U.S. Navy’s grand strategy and deployment plans are out of sync with the capabilities it is fielding, and how it is tailoring the strategy to justify its procurement of the Littoral Combat Ship rather than starting from strategy and building platforms to suit. (“Questionable Assumptions“)

I am a longtime Navy booster, but I have become discouraged in recent years by the Pentagon’s failure to procure and field ships (especially surface combatants of any size) that are capable of achieving their mission in a timely, economical manner. It is enough to make me pine for the days of the Oliver Hazard Perry-class guided missile frigates, despite their design limitations.

Ignoring the program’s teething pains in coming up to operational readiness, Galrahn offers us a chapter and verse listing of the strategic issues surrounding the LCS and its capabilities. This is a discussion that should concern every American taxpayer, regardless of political persuasion, because it cuts to the heart of the massive procurement dysfunction in the Pentagon.

The Enemy We Need?

David Rothkopf

David Rothkopf (Photo credit: New America Foundation)

In Foreign Policy, David Rothkopf offers one reason we are looking to turn America’s relationship with China into the next Cold War.

Many in the United States have a rampant, untreated case of enemy dependency. Politicians love enemies because bashing them helps stir up public sentiment and distract attention from problems at home. The defense industry loves enemies because enemies help them make money. Pundits and their publications love enemies because enemies sell papers and lead eyeballs to cable-news food fights.

I have lived in and dealt with China long enough to know that we should not delude ourselves about that country or its intentions. This is a relationship unlike any we have known in recent history, at once a market, a resource, and a competitor with whom we share a mutual dependency. We are confused about how to deal with them, and they with us.

China may well wind up being our enemy at some point. But we serve ourselves poorly by creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. There is a fine line between wise preparedness and reckless provocation. Our debate should be on where that line is, and once decided we should step right up to it – but not across.

MoJo has A Point

Report: Military Blew $1 Trillion on Weapons Since 9/11 | Mother Jones.

I don’t agree with a lot of what I read in Mother Jones, being as I am somewhere to the right of Karl Marx. Occasionally, however, they make a good point, and I often find it lurking in the writings of Adam Weinstein as he writes on security issues.

While I think Weinstein oversimplifies aplenty in this article, I’m mostly with him when he writes:

Is the military in a bad way when it comes to staying up-to-date? Not really. But is it paying through the nose for what it gets nowadays? Absolutely. Perhaps if congressional conservatives and generals attacked military contractors the way they attack defense-budget hawks, they could afford their guns and butter.

The problem with defense procurement is that it is the single largest specimen of a larger species, the uncontrollable government budget. The problem, however, is not defense: it is self-perpetuating bureaucracies and unkillable programs, brought to you by careerist officers in the Pentagon and pork-barrel rollers on Capitol Hill.

It is time for us to start slashing the fat in the government. Let’s begin by killing the Humvee, the F-35, the F-22, the Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle, and the Littoral Combat Ship.